This March 2025 OpenMinds presentation lays out the Dual Challenge: human flourishing and economic growth require more energy, while our largest sources of energy drive global warming. It walks through energy and emissions data, OpenMinds' 'P50' Outlook to 2035, and the solutions and Impact Projects the network of 125+ volunteer experts is pursuing for more energy and less emissions.
Key points
- The 'P50' Outlook projects global energy demand up 15% by 2035, oil demand peaking in 2030, and renewables reaching 25% of the energy mix.
- Global carbon emissions are peaking, yet the Outlook leaves a gap of about 66 Gt of CO2 versus a 1.8°C scenario, with temperatures heading for a 2.5 to 3.0°C rise without further progress.
- Early wins in LED lighting, solar and wind, battery storage and electric vehicles have already cut annual emissions by about 2 to 3 Gt.
- OpenMinds prioritizes solutions by low cost, deployment speed and abatement potential, including methane abatement, coal-to-X switching, carbon capture (CCUS) and nuclear.